Ikhwanweb :: The Muslim Brotherhood Official English Website

Tue109 2018

Last update19:14 PM GMT

Back to Homepage
Font Size : 12 point 14 point 16 point 18 point
:: Issues > Activites
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali
In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, being conducted during the period January 25th to January 31st 2009 and published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), a random sample of (673) Palestinian adults (over 18 years old) representing the various demographic specimens in the Palestinian society in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, were face to face interviewed
Sunday, February 8,2009 02:24
by www.pcpo.ps

The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali revealed that:

(72.0 %) evaluated their economic situation as "bad".
(34.1 %) believe that Hamas has won the Gaza war.
(54.4 %) hold Israel responsible for the war that recently flamed in Gaza.
(43.5 %) believe that Hamas" power has increased after the Gaza war.
(40.6 %) are in favor of Fateh, (31.4 %) of Hamas.
(61.2 %) oppose the deployment of multinational (UN) forces in Gaza Strip.
(46.0 %) propose for the present the formation of a national unity government.
(57.8 %) were in favor of the participation of Khaled Misha"l and some factions" heads in the Doha"s Summit Conference.
(51.3 %) of the Palestinians are of the opinion that Hamas is navigating the country towards the wrong direction, (46 %) believe Fateh is doing that.

In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, being conducted during the period January 25th to January 31st 2009 and published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), a random sample of (673) Palestinian adults (over 18 years old) representing the various demographic specimens in the Palestinian society in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, were face to face interviewed.

The most important finding of this poll is that the overwhelming majority of the Palestinians, (88.2 %), are for the present in favor of a Palestinian-Israeli truce, specifically (86.1 %) in Gaza Strip and (89.6 %) in the West Bank. Dr. Kukali further commented the outcome of the poll saying that the rate of support for Fateh (40.6 %) among the Palestinians lies now higher than that for Hamas (31.4 %). The rate of Fateh"s popularity in Gaza Strip, established at (42.5 %), lies much higher than that of Hamas on its own terrain, reaching namely the rate of (27.8 %). The same trend has been found in the West Bank, where Fateh scored (39.2 %) of the Palestinians" support, whilst Hamas has to content itself with only (23.7 %).

In addition, Dr. Kukali said that the majority of the Palestinian people, ( 54.1 %), believe that none of the parties involved won the war recently blazed in Gaza. This rate consists of (34.7 %) from Gaza Strip and (66.3 %) from the West Bank. Dr. Kukali pointed out that (56 %) of the residents of Gaza Strip believe that Hamas is navigating the country towards the wrong direction, whilst (48.3 %) of the Palestinians in the West Bank believe that. Regarding the inauguration of the new US-president Barak Obama, (41.7 %) of the Palestinian public have a positive opinion of him as they hope that Mr. Obama will undertake practical and serious measures to achieve peace in the Middle East region. 

Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll where as follows:

01) How would you assess nowadays your attitude or support to Hamas?

Response

Percentage

1.  My support increased        

25.9

2.  My support decreased

12.8

3.  My support remained unchanged 

14.1

4.  My attitude remained unchanged. I"m not a Hamas supporter

47.2

02)  How would you assess nowadays your attitude or support to Fateh?

Response

Percentage

1.  My support increased

19.4

2.  My support decreased

16.3

3.  My support remained unchanged 

28.5

4.  My attitude remained unchanged. I"m not a Fatah supporter

35.8

03) Do you think, in general, that Hamas is navigating our country in the right or in the wrong direction ?

Response

Percentage

1.  In the right direction

41.7

2.  In the wrong direction

51.3

3.  I Don"t know (DON"T READ)

7.0

04)  Do you think, in general, that Fateh is navigating our country in the right or in the wrong direction?

Response

Percentage

1.  In the right direction

46.0

2.  In the wrong direction   

46.0

3.  I Don"t know (DON"T READ)

8.0

05)  Who should, in your opinion, be held responsible for the recent war in Gaza?

Response

Percentage

1.  Fateh

7.6

2.  Hamas

14.5

3.  Israel

54.4

4.  Egypt

4.8

5.  Iran

4.8

6.  Syria

0.7

7.  US 

13.0

8.  EU

0. 2

06)  Who, in your opinion, won the war that recently blazed in Gaza Strip?

Response

Percentage

1.  Israel

10.5

2.  Hamas

34.1

3.  Fateh

1.3

4.  Nobody

54.1

07)   Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way President Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) is handling his job as PA president?

Response

Percentage

1.  Satisfied

28.7

2.  Dissatisfied

48.8

3.  Refuse to answer

22.5

08)   What is your attitude to the firing of rockets at present on Israel from Gaza?

Response

Percentage

1.  Strongly favour

18.5

2.  Favour

20.8

3.  Undecided

33.5

4.  Oppose

14.3

5.  Strongly oppose

12.9

09)   To which extent do you think the militant resistance has fulfilled its task during the Israeli aggression on Gaza Strip?

Response

Percentage

1. To a great extent

40.1

2. To a middle extent

33.3

3. To a small extent

23.9

4. I don"t know

2.7

10)  Do you think, after the war in Gaza … (READ THE LIST) has gained or lost power? How would you assess at present this power?

 

Tremendously increased

Somewhat   increased   

Remained
unchanged   

Somewhat 
languished 

Tremendously
languished

1.  Israel

11.4

26.3

27.0

19.8

15.5

2.  Hamas

22.4

21.1

29.7

22.7

4. 1

3.  Fateh

4.3

21.2

52.2

12. 3

10.0

4.  The Palestinian Authority

2.7

20.2

50.8

16.2

10.1

5.  Mahmoud Abbas

4.3

17.0

40.6

20.7

17. 4

6.  Khaled Mish"al

23.8

17.8

28.1

21.4

8.9

11)  Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip were in favor of the participation of Khaled Mish"al and some factions" heads in the Doha"s Summit Conference. Others opposed that.  Which of the following opinions is closer to yours?

Response

Percentage

1.  I was in favor of the participation of Khaled Mish"al and some  factions" heads.

57.8

2.  I opposed their participation

24.6

3.  I don"t know

17.6

12)  What do you think, after the Gaza war, would be the best solution to the Palestinian people ?

Response

Percentage

1.  To return to the negotiation table with Israel

21.1

2.  To form a government of national unity

46.0

3.  To conduct new presidential and PLC elections

37.0

4.  To affiliate Gaza Strip to Egypt

1.2

5.  To call UN forces to take over the responsibility in Gaza Strip

3.7

13)  I"m going to read to you a list of groups, organizations, institutions or individuals.  Please tell me for each group, organization, institution or individual I read whether you have a very favorable opinion, a somewhat favorable opinion, a somewhat unfavorable opinion or a very unfavorable    opinion.

 

Very
Favorable   

Somewhat favorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Very
 unfavorable

1. PA President "Abu Mazen"

18.3

31.9

27.5

22.3

2. Head of Hamas, "Khaled Mish"al

24.4

25.6

35.6

14.4

3. Prime Minister, "Salam Fayyad"

16.4

47.3

21.2

15.1

4. Head of the deposed government,
    "Ismael Haniyyeh"    

27.7

28.2

35.5

8.6

5. PLO Secretary, "Yassir Abed-Rabbu"

28.4

34.4

18.1

19.1

6 .The new US-President, "Barak Obama"

18.8

22.9

22.1

36.2

7. Al-Jazeera TV-station

66.1

21.2

7.2

5.5

8. Al-Arabiyya TV-sation

49.9

32.5

11.9

5.7

9. Doha Summit Conference

49.9

32.1

11.9

6.1

10. Kuwait Summit Conference

18.8

58.8

16.2

6.2

14)  Are you in favor of deploying multinational (UN) forces in Gaza Strip, or not?   (READ 1-4).

Response

Percentage

1.  Strongly favor

6.4

2.  Somewhat favor

31.1

3.  Somewhat oppose

28.6

4.  Strongly oppose

32.6

5.  I don"t know

1.3

15) Please mention the name of the Palestinian organization, party, movement or faction you are in favor of / or consider yourself on of its supporter .OPEN QUESTION.

   Response

Percentage

1. Fatah

40.6

2. Hamas

31.3

3. The popular front for the liberation of Palestine (PFLP)

5.4

4. The Islamic jihad

2.7

5. The Palestinian National Initiative

1.8

6. The democratic front of the liberation of Palestine (DFLP)

1.3

7. People’s party

0.9

8. FIDA

0.7

9. Independents

5.8

10. Refused

5.0

11. None of the above

8.8

16)  If, with the consent of all political powers and parties, new presidential elections would be conducted. For whom would you vote to be the President of the Palestinian Authority ?

OPEN QUESTION.

Response

Percentage

1. Ismael Haniyyeh

15.8

2. Marwan Al-Barghouthi

14.4

3. Mahmoud Abbas

12.6

4. Yassir Abed-Rabbu

9.2

5. Khaled Misha"l

8.9

7. Mohammed Dahlan

4.4

8. Mustafa Al-Barghouthi

4.1

9. Salam Fayyad

3.6

10. Aziz El-Duwaik

3.5

11. Mahmoud El-Zahhar

3.3

12. Ahmad Sa’adat

2.2

13. Ramadan Shallah

2.1

14. Qais Abed-Alkareem

0.8

15. Munib Al-Masre

0.6

16. Saeb Ereikat

0.6

17. Bassam Al-Salhi

0.2

18. Independent

5.5

19. Hamas Candidate

1.6

20. Fatah Candidate

0.8

21. None of the above

3.5

22. I don’t know

2.3

17)  What is your attitude towards a Palestinian-Israeli cease-fire at present?   (READ 1-4)

Response

Percentage

1.  Strongly favor

49.3

2.  Somewhat favor

38.9

3.  Somewhat oppose

5.8

4.  Strongly oppose

4.0

5.  I don"t know

1.9

18)  Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis?

Response

Percentage

1.  Strongly favor

20.0

2.  Somewhat favor

53.6

3.  Somewhat oppose

11.5

4.  Strongly oppose

12.7

5.  I don"t know

2.2

19)  Who, do you think, is the best party to bear the responsibility for the reconstruction of Gaza Strip?  (READ 1-2).

Response

Percentage

1. Salam Fayyad"s government

36.2

2. The deposed government of Ismael Haniyyeh

37.4

3. Otherwise, please specify:

26.4

20)  In view of the political and economic situations prevailing nowadays in the Palestinian Territories, are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future? (READ 1-2).

Response

Percentage

1.  Pessimistic 

61.2

2.  Optimistic

33.9

3.  Don"t know

4.9

21)  How would you assess the general economic situation in the Palestinian Territories? 
Is it  (READ 1-3)

Response

Percentage

1.  Good

2.8

2.  Mediocre   

24.7

3.  Bad           

72.0

4.  I don"t know

0. 5

22)  Up to which extent are you worried at present about the subsistence of your family?
(READ 1-4).

Response

Percentage

1.  Too much worried

40.7

2.  Worried     

40.7

3.  Not so much worried

12.1

4.  No worried at all

4.6

5.  Don"t know

1.9

23)  What is your main concern at present?

Response

Percentage

1.  The job / money

28.6

2.  The security

40.5

3.  The health

11.5

4.  The future

19.4

24)  Given an assessment scale from (1) to (10), where (1) stands for "very much dissatisfied" and (10) for "very much satisfied", how would you assess your satisfaction or dissatisfaction, in general, with the life you"re living?

Answer from (1) to (10): The outcome was in average: 3.61

25)  Now think of the future, and particularly when your children become in your age. Do you think there would be peace between Israelis and Palestinians?  (READ 1-5).

Response

Percentage

1.  Yes, definitely 

2.4

2.  Yes, likely

14.4

3. Peace is possible

16.5

4.  Unlikely    

23.3

5.  Definitely, No

40.8

6. Don"t know

2.6

Methodology of the Survey Study:

Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies" Section at the PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the respondents" homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at least 5 hours a day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper representation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (150 election sites, from which (110 sites are located in West Bank and (40) sites in Gaza Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election Commission. These election sites were randomly chosen by using the method of the simple random sample. These in turn were the beginning of the random sample choice made from those regions in accordance with PCPO"s long experienced methodology.
 
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error was (±3.78)at a significance and confidence levels of (5%) and (95%) respectively. He added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.8%) against (50.2%) male respondents. The distribution of the random sample between the Palestinian two major regions was (61.5%) in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and (38.5%) in Gaza Strip, and allocated as follows: (49.6%) for the towns, (31.6%) for the villages and (18.4%) for the camps


Posted in Activites , Human Rights , Palestine  
Add Comment Send to Friend Print
Related Articles
Abu Marzouk: Hamas will not yield to the Israeli extortion regarding the calm
Hamas’ popularity soaring following Israel’s Gaza blitz
European MPs: EU wrong for not talking with Hamas
Carter says Hamas must be included
Erdogan: The main reason for tensions in Gaza is the policy of isolating Hamas
Hamas slams Blair’s statements as old scenario
Hamas a New Regional Player.. Awaiting Redrawing Political Map
Abu Marzouk: Hamas got prepared for the war since last summer
MB Chairman: Hamas Gained a Real and Remarkable Victory
Egypt’s intelligence blackmails wounded Palestinians to tell about Hamas
Hamas Rising
The Facts About Hamas and the War on Gaza
Israel Confirms Hamas Fired NO Rockets
Ging denies Hamas leaders hiding in Shifa hospital
Hamas: Statement of the UN human rights council encourages Israeli war crimes
Pictures of Hamas’ most wanted terrorists
The roots of Hamas resilience
The Truth About Those Hamas Rockets
Ten Palestinians, including prominent Hamas leader, killed in latest massacre
Hamas gaining sympathy as onslaught continues
Hamas: We will not raise the white flag
What Was Hamas Thinking? Understanding the Events in Gaza
Hamas: Ban Ki-moon remarks on Palestinian missiles biased
Nassif: Ballot boxes to show that Hamas is still popular
Swiss expert: The western world went wrong when it boycotted Hamas governments
Hamas: we’ll hold meetings with factions to crystallize a position on the calm
Hamas welcomes release of prisoners, warns of trading their cause
Exclusive: Ikhwanweb Interview With Hamas Deputy Leader
Mishaal explains to Mousa Hamas’s views on dialog
Radwan: Dialog Hamas’s strategic option
Euro-MP details assault by Israeli security forces, rips West’s boycott of Hamas
Hamas: Abbas’s speech full of contradictions, reflects ill will
Hamas Says it is Ready to Talk to Obama
Hamas: We’ll judge Obama by his actions not by his electoral agenda
Mishaal calls for a meeting between Hamas and Fatah to break the ice
Hamas debates points of agreement in Egyptian draft with Jihad, PFLP, DFLP
Hamas strongly denounces IOF shooting at school
Hamas affirms insistence on participation of all factions in dialog
Resheq: Hamas handed a written response to the Egyptian officials