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A handbook for overthrowing governments like the Buramese ,lessons to be learnt
A handbook for overthrowing governments like the Buramese ,lessons to be learnt
BBC World World Affair correspondent Paul Reynolds made a wonderful handbook for overthrowing governments and regimes like the one in Burma ,I found it very interesting because some factors are the key for any successful revolution that wants real change with historical examples from around the globe
Wednesday, October 3,2007 21:00
by Zeinobia Egyptianchronicles.blogspot

BBC World World Affair correspondent Paul Reynolds made a wonderful handbook for overthrowing governments and regimes like the one in Burma ,I found it very interesting because some factors are the key for any successful revolution that wants real change with historical examples from around the globe

Those key factors are the following :

Widespread public protests, bringing in many different social and economic groups

An opposition leadership with clear ideas around which people can rally

The ability to use the media in some form to get a message across

A mechanism for undermining the existing regime - whether by internal coup in the case of a military junta, the emergence of reformers, or the simple exhaustion of an existing government leading to its collapse

External pressure from key countries able to exert

Some wise people will say hey Zeinobia can we implement this in Egypt !!??

Well of course , look if you review these factors you will find that they can implemented in Egypt , of course the Egyptian people seem to me will depend only on the last two factors a miraculous internal coup "despite we do not have a military Junta now " and external pressure

We do not have yet united opposition leadership ideas , the MB are in Jail plus many won"t like their political program especially when it concerns the Presidency and its interaction with the religious leadership , that reminds me with the System in Iran , Ayman Nour"s program and ideas were accepted by many but he is in Jail too not to mention that after all those years he got less supporters than before , the rest from opposition from the leftists "despite their late activity in the workers" protests" ,the Nasserists and Wafadists seem to live in the past

All these political opposition powers due to the regime siege on parties activities and to the fact that they do not address the whole people but instead a specific segments in their talk are not considered a powerful opposition leadership or can form one whether sooner or later and this is not their recent problem , it is our problem in Egypt since the monarchy the political parties always fight each other in order to rule forgetting the people

The opposition leadership is the one which can make the people go out in widely protests by encouraging them well enough to make them feel the power

charismatic personalities like Mustafa Kamal or Saad Zaglol or Nasser "I can"t deny that he had one hell of Charismatic personality" are no longer there to motivate people

The widespread protests in different areas of the nation can be achieved if the regime issues stupid economic decision increasing the prices of food in Egypt just like in 1977 and it is expected by some economic exporters to happen sooner if the government don"t do something about the prices ,and they won"t it because they are dumb enough , every time the President comes and says there will no be no shift in princes , next day the prices go up to the Sky !!

Egyptians will move only by the power of hunger , the hungers revolution the catastrophic scenario where the 1977 protests will be nothing to compare with and there will be no red elements to be blamed this time like then.The problem of the hunger revolution that it can be ended peacefully in the beginning with quick economic fixes , a reduce in princes to reduce the people anger

Yet we can not lose the hope because there were brighter examples in the Egyptian history that tell us that our people can rebel without hunger like in 1919 revolution or in 1923 protests or in 1936 protests , people in all these previous examples demanded political demands whether from complete independence to constitutional demands , all those protests were in time where there were few media options available to Egyptians from radio to newspapers

We Should not lose hope at all because without hope there will be nothing left to us


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